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Thursday Evening Forecast 8-8-13

Severe Thunderstorm Watch until 10:00pm

Extensive cloud cover held down temperatures for most of the
day...greatly limiting instability and delaying the formation of
showers/thunderstorms. The cloud cove diminished across the
western half of our forecast area by late afternoon...allowing rapid warming and
destabilization. A few thunderstorms formed quickly within the
past hour just outside our forecast area in Texas. Additional
development is likely later this evening...but the exact location is still unclear.
There is also some uncertainty regarding the eventual formation of
another complex overnight...but it still seems most probable that
northern Oklahoma will be the target of any convective systems
that may develop tonight. As a result...the expected rainfall
could cause flooding problems...and a flood watch has been issued
for tonight through midday tomorrow for that area.

It appears that the support for continued convection will diminish
tomorrow...causing lower chances of rain and storms...less
qpf...and less chance of additional flooding. Rivers may continue
to flood...but otherwise the risk is much lower tomorrow afternoon
into the weekend.

The overall pattern remains favorable for occasional showers and
thunderstorms through the period...with temperatures running
fairly close to the seasonal averages.

Tonight: Partly cloudy with a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. East winds around 10 mph shifting to the northeast after midnight. Chance of thunderstorms 40 percent.

Friday: Partly cloudy. A slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning. Highs in the upper 90s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of thunderstorms 20 percent.

Friday Night: Partly cloudy with a slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of thunderstorms 20 percent.

Saturday: Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Northeast winds around 10 mph.

Saturday Night: Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.

Sunday: Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 90s.

Sunday Night: Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s.

Monday: Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 90s.

Monday Night: Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s.

Tuesday: Partly cloudy with a slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s
. Chance of thunderstorms 20 percent.

Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy with a slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s.

Chance of thunderstorms 20 percent.

Wednesday: Partly cloudy with a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s.

Chance of thunderstorms 30 percent.

Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy with a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s.

Chance of thunderstorms 40 percent.

Thursday: Partly cloudy with a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s.

Chance of thunderstorms 30 percent.

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